Informal Fallacy: False Causation
False causation, also known as post hoc ergo propter hoc or false cause fallacy, causal fallacy or faulty causality, is a common logical fallacy that occurs when a cause-and-effect relationship is wrongly assumed without sufficient evidence to support it. This is a flawed conclusion because either such a relationship does not exist, or the evidence supporting it is insufficient. These fallacies can be particularly misleading in fields that rely heavily on empirical evidence and logical reasoning. Examples: In economics , one might observe that as ice cream sales increase, the rate of drowning deaths also increases. However, concluding that ice cream sales cause drowning would be a false cause fallacy; the actual cause is the warmer weather, which is a common factor that increases both the likelihood of people swimming and purchasing ice cream. One might observe that when interest rates fall, stock prices rise and conclude that lower interest rates cause the stock market to boom. Howeve